LOL
Lord.
I have not seen any projections or numbers for this movie, but I'm willing to go on record as saying it will not clear 12 million dollars. King adaptations are notorious stinkbombs. Even the ones that turn out well - like "Shawshank" - don't find an audience until years after the fact, on cable or DVD.
Lord.
I have not seen any projections or numbers for this movie, but I'm willing to go on record as saying it will not clear 12 million dollars. King adaptations are notorious stinkbombs. Even the ones that turn out well - like "Shawshank" - don't find an audience until years after the fact, on cable or DVD.
King's last few movie adaptations adjusted for Secret Window's screen count:
Dreamcatcher: $14.2 million
Hearts in Atlantis: $15.2 million
The Green Mile: $17.5 million
That's not too shabby. Combine that with Depp's career being at a high and horror/suspense doing well lately, and I say it goes over $12 million.
Dreamcatcher: $14.2 million
Hearts in Atlantis: $15.2 million
The Green Mile: $17.5 million
That's not too shabby. Combine that with Depp's career being at a high and horror/suspense doing well lately, and I say it goes over $12 million.
SOS,
Why is adjusting for a screen count pertinent? That would only have value if there was some kind of "spillover" and ticket holders could not get into shows due to limited seating. None of those movies grossed enough for that to be a factor:
"Hearts in Atantis" grossed around 9 million; "Green Mile" had Tom Hanks. I'm really at a loss to explain the decent weekend for "Dreamcatcher."
The movie has no particular hook or point of interest to attract a large audience. It's not a story that even really needed a big-screen treatment. Gil is right - except for Depp, this gives off the vibe of a USA Network Movie of the Week.
Not over 12. Maybe around 9, but not over 12.
Why is adjusting for a screen count pertinent? That would only have value if there was some kind of "spillover" and ticket holders could not get into shows due to limited seating. None of those movies grossed enough for that to be a factor:
"Hearts in Atantis" grossed around 9 million; "Green Mile" had Tom Hanks. I'm really at a loss to explain the decent weekend for "Dreamcatcher."
The movie has no particular hook or point of interest to attract a large audience. It's not a story that even really needed a big-screen treatment. Gil is right - except for Depp, this gives off the vibe of a USA Network Movie of the Week.
Not over 12. Maybe around 9, but not over 12.
Yeah Royler... there you go bud. I still think Secret Window isn't going to do that good. It's NOT on the buzz charts, and it only landed the top ten chart early this morning. Buzz is average. Remember when Julia Roberts last movie burned at the box office. It doens't matter who you are, how big a star, if the concept sucks, then the movie sucks... and does shitty. Actually.. there is value in 15 million and under for 5/1 $300 gets you back $1800 big ones.!!!
Well, only the fact that the line is so high makes me a little wary of taking the under, but other than that I'll stick with my 15-23.4 prediction and say that it's a lot more likely that it goes under than over. That said, with the current hype surrounding Johny Depp, I wouldn't be surprised to see it make 23 so it's only a 1 unit play for me.
The Secret Window
under 22.5 -115 1.15 units
overall:
3-3 +1.85 units
The Secret Window
under 22.5 -115 1.15 units
overall:
3-3 +1.85 units
alright this is a bit of a hedge with the possibility of a middle:
add: Secret Window 21 to 25.9 million +120 1 unit
the reason I'm doing this is besides the good performance on Moviefone.com, it's also getting a particularly large amount of traffic on certain message boards. I can't see it really going over 25.9, but with these 2 factors maybe it can do as well as Once Upon a Time in Mexico, with a genre (horror/suspense) that is very popular among the teenage crowd with currently one of the hottest actors out there. Aside from the trailer, which in my opinion is mediocre rather than aweful.
add: Secret Window 21 to 25.9 million +120 1 unit
the reason I'm doing this is besides the good performance on Moviefone.com, it's also getting a particularly large amount of traffic on certain message boards. I can't see it really going over 25.9, but with these 2 factors maybe it can do as well as Once Upon a Time in Mexico, with a genre (horror/suspense) that is very popular among the teenage crowd with currently one of the hottest actors out there. Aside from the trailer, which in my opinion is mediocre rather than aweful.
Good Plays. You could score big. Cody banks is still at 12 million at wsex... maybe 15 million or more at Intertops isn't a bad play for +400.
I wish I would have posted my Oscar plays... but I did them rather late. I scored pretty good. 4-1. I think JC Cambert was playing you all. His picks were a joke.
I wish I would have posted my Oscar plays... but I did them rather late. I scored pretty good. 4-1. I think JC Cambert was playing you all. His picks were a joke.
this was a bad year, obviously, to bet on underdogs in the Golden Globes and Oscars. The clear front-runners didn't really have much competition to speak of. The closest race, best actor, still went to the favorite, even. Anyways the first Cody Banks didn't go much over 14 so I don't see this one doing any better than that. If I had to chose I'd say under 12. That last spy kids movie totally bombed, kids might be growing tired of the genre.
